Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 36

Chapecoense AF vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 00:00 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 36
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Chapecoense AF win13%
Draw14%
Cruzeiro EC win73%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
1.32 – 3.12

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Chapecoense AF's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Cruzeiro EC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–37.9%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 1–46.2%
  • 0–36.0%
  • 0–25.7%
  • 2–35.2%
  • 2–25.0%
  • 1–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticChapecoense AFCruzeiro EC
Matches played1212
Points per match0.922.25
Goals per match1.082.08
Goals conceded per match2.081.42
Home / away goals scored914
Home / away goals conceded1213
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored411
Last 5 goals conceded118
Win percentage25%75%

Chapecoense AF recent form

LLWLL

Cruzeiro EC recent form

LWWWW

Recent form

Chapecoense AF

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–3
  • Wvs Fluminense FC2–1
  • Lat Botafogo FR0–1
  • Lvs CA Paranaense1–4

Cruzeiro EC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia3–2
  • Wat CA Mineiro1–0
  • Wvs Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wat Grêmio FBPA4–2
  • Lat RB Bragantino2–4

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.