Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 21

Chapecoense AF vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 14 Nov, 23:30 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 21
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Chapecoense AF win22%
Draw21%
CR Vasco da Gama win57%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.26 – 2.09

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Chapecoense AF's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. CR Vasco da Gama carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 0–27.7%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–15.8%
  • 0–35.4%

Team comparison

StatisticChapecoense AFCR Vasco da Gama
Matches played1212
Points per match0.921.58
Goals per match1.081.67
Goals conceded per match2.081.58
Home / away goals scored98
Home / away goals conceded129
Last 5 points37
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded118
Win percentage25%50%

Chapecoense AF recent form

LLWLL

CR Vasco da Gama recent form

DLWLW

Recent form

Chapecoense AF

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–3
  • Wvs Fluminense FC2–1
  • Lat Botafogo FR0–1
  • Lvs CA Paranaense1–4

CR Vasco da Gama

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat CA Paranaense3–1
  • Lvs Flamengo1–4
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista3–2
  • Lat São Paulo FC0–1
  • Dvs Clube do Remo0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.