Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30
Chapecoense AF vs CA Paranaense Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 12 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 30
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Chapecoense AF win41%
Draw20%
CA Paranaense win39%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 61%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 2.13 – 2.07
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CA Paranaense, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. CA Paranaense's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–26.8%
- 1–16.6%
- 3–25.2%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–15.0%
- 1–34.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chapecoense AF | CA Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 40% |
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
CA Paranaense recent form
WDLDW
Recent form
Chapecoense AF
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat CA Mineiro1–1
- Lvs SC Internacional1–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
CA Paranaense
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs EC Bahia2–1
- Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
- Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
- Wat Botafogo FR3–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.