Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30
Chapecoense AF vs CA Paranaense Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 12 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 30
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Chapecoense AF win34%
Draw20%
CA Paranaense win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 61%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 1.97 – 2.27
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CA Paranaense, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. CA Paranaense's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–35.5%
- 2–35.5%
- 3–24.7%
- 3–14.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chapecoense AF | CA Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Goals per match | 1.08 | 1.82 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.08 | 2.09 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 27% |
Chapecoense AF recent form
LLWLL
CA Paranaense recent form
WLDLL
Recent form
Chapecoense AF
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat EC Vitória0–4
- Dat CA Mineiro1–1
- Lvs SC Internacional1–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
CA Paranaense
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded
- Dvs CA Mineiro2–2
- Wvs EC Bahia2–1
- Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
- Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 12 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.