Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

CA Paranaense vs SE Palmeiras Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Paranaense win35%
Draw25%
SE Palmeiras win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.48

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates CA Paranaense's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. SE Palmeiras have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. SE Palmeiras arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–26.3%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 0–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCA ParanaenseSE Palmeiras
Matches played55
Points per match1.601.80
Goals per match2.401.40
Goals conceded per match2.400.40
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded41
Last 5 points89
Last 5 goals scored127
Last 5 goals conceded122
Win percentage40%40%

CA Paranaense recent form

WDLDW

SE Palmeiras recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

CA Paranaense

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia2–1
  • Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
  • Wat Botafogo FR3–2

SE Palmeiras

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Dat Botafogo FR0–0
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.