Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CA Paranaense win27%
Draw16%
EC Bahia win57%
- Predicted score
- 2–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 91%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 9%
- BTTS yes
- 86%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 79%
- BTTS no
- 14%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 3.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CA Paranaense have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. EC Bahia carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. EC Bahia arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–36.0%
- 2–25.7%
- 1–35.4%
- 1–25.1%
- 2–44.7%
- 3–34.5%
- 1–44.2%
- 3–24.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CA Paranaense | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.18 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 50% |
CA Paranaense recent form
WLDLL
EC Bahia recent form
WLDWL
Recent form
CA Paranaense
1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 10 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
- Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
- Wat Botafogo FR3–2
EC Bahia
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
- Wat RB Bragantino3–2
- Wvs SC Internacional3–2
- Wat EC Vitória2–0
- Dat Chapecoense AF3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.