Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CA Paranaense win27%
Draw16%
EC Bahia win57%
- Predicted score
- 2–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 91%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 9%
- BTTS yes
- 86%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 79%
- BTTS no
- 14%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 3.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CA Paranaense have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. EC Bahia carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. EC Bahia arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–36.0%
- 2–25.7%
- 1–35.4%
- 1–25.1%
- 2–44.7%
- 3–34.5%
- 1–44.2%
- 3–24.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CA Paranaense | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.17 |
| Goals per match | 2.40 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 67% |
CA Paranaense recent form
WDLDW
EC Bahia recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
CA Paranaense
1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 10 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
- Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
- Wat Botafogo FR3–2
EC Bahia
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
- Wat RB Bragantino3–2
- Wvs SC Internacional3–2
- Wat EC Vitória2–0
- Dat Chapecoense AF3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.