Primera Division · Matchweek 3

CA Osasuna vs Getafe CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 31 Aug, 18:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Osasuna win40%
Draw28%
Getafe CF win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

CA Osasuna have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Getafe CF have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. CA Osasuna's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 0–25.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCA OsasunaGetafe CF
Matches played76
Points per match1.141.33
Goals per match0.860.67
Goals conceded per match1.860.67
Home / away goals scored20
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points45
Last 5 goals scored43
Last 5 goals conceded124
Win percentage29%33%

CA Osasuna recent form

WLLLD

Getafe CF recent form

LDDLW

Recent form

CA Osasuna

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–2
  • Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2

Getafe CF

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–0
  • Wvs CA Osasuna1–0
  • Lat Elche CF0–1
  • Wvs RCD Mallorca3–1
  • Dat Real Oviedo0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.