Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
CA Mineiro vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CA Mineiro win64%
Draw19%
Chapecoense AF win17%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.34 – 1.14
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour CA Mineiro, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. CA Mineiro's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour CA Mineiro, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.5%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–07.3%
- 3–06.6%
- 2–25.5%
- 1–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CA Mineiro | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
CA Mineiro recent form
DWLWD
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
CA Mineiro
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Fluminense FC3–1
- Lat São Paulo FC0–2
- Wvs EC Vitória2–1
- Dat SC Internacional0–0
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–0
Chapecoense AF
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs SC Internacional1–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Dvs EC Bahia3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.