Premier League · Matchweek 14

Brentford FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Brentford FC win39%
Draw25%
Manchester City FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.43

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Manchester City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Manchester City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–06.0%
  • 0–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBrentford FCManchester City FC
Matches played1010
Points per match1.402.10
Goals per match1.602.10
Goals conceded per match1.101.30
Home / away goals scored1010
Home / away goals conceded36
Last 5 points56
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage30%70%

Brentford FC recent form

DLDWL

Manchester City FC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

Brentford FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–2
  • Wvs Nottingham Forest FC2–0
  • Dat Hull City AFC1–1
  • Lvs Liverpool FC1–2
  • Dat Aston Villa FC2–2

Manchester City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Nottingham Forest FC1–3
  • Wat RB Leipzig3–2
  • Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–1
  • Lat Aston Villa FC1–2
  • Wvs PAE AEK5–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.