Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26

Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 22:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 26
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Botafogo FR win25%
Draw21%
SE Palmeiras win54%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SE Palmeiras with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. SE Palmeiras arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 1–36.5%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 2–16.2%
  • 0–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticBotafogo FRSE Palmeiras
Matches played75
Points per match0.711.80
Goals per match0.861.40
Goals conceded per match1.710.40
Home / away goals scored61
Home / away goals conceded61
Last 5 points59
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded82
Win percentage14%40%

Botafogo FR recent form

LDDWL

SE Palmeiras recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

Botafogo FR

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Flamengo0–3
  • Lvs CA Paranaense2–3
  • Lat EC Vitória0–1
  • Wvs Fortaleza EC4–2
  • Dat Cruzeiro EC2–2

SE Palmeiras

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1
  • Wat Ceará SC3–1
  • Wat CA Mineiro3–0
  • Lat Grêmio FBPA2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.