Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 21
Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 16 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 21
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Botafogo FR win48%
Draw29%
Grêmio FBPA win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 62%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.30 – 0.80
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–012.1%
- 2–010.3%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–25.1%
- 3–04.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Botafogo FR | Grêmio FBPA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 14% |
Botafogo FR recent form
LDDWL
Grêmio FBPA recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
Botafogo FR
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs RB Bragantino1–1
- Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
- Lat Flamengo0–3
- Lvs CA Paranaense2–3
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
Grêmio FBPA
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs Chapecoense AF3–1
- Lat RB Bragantino0–1
- Lat CA Mineiro0–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 September 2026
Last updated: 16 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.