Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 37

Botafogo FR vs EC Bahia Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 00:00 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 37
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Botafogo FR win38%
Draw25%
EC Bahia win37%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.45

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. EC Bahia's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–05.8%
  • 0–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticBotafogo FREC Bahia
Matches played1312
Points per match0.921.67
Goals per match0.851.75
Goals conceded per match1.541.67
Home / away goals scored912
Home / away goals conceded812
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded69
Win percentage23%50%

Botafogo FR recent form

DWLLW

EC Bahia recent form

WLDWL

Recent form

Botafogo FR

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs CA Mineiro1–0
  • Lat Clube do Remo1–2
  • Lat SC Internacional0–3
  • Wvs Chapecoense AF1–0
  • Dat Coritiba FBC1–1

EC Bahia

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC2–3
  • Wvs São Paulo FC3–2
  • Dat Santos FC1–1
  • Lvs Flamengo0–3
  • Wvs Mirassol FC1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.