Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31
Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 22:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 31
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Botafogo FR win40%
Draw24%
Chapecoense AF win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.53 – 1.42
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–06.1%
- 0–25.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Botafogo FR | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 33% |
Botafogo FR recent form
LDDWL
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
Botafogo FR
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Mirassol FC0–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–2
- Dvs RB Bragantino1–1
- Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
- Lat Flamengo0–3
Chapecoense AF
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat CA Mineiro1–1
- Lvs SC Internacional1–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.