Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 22:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Botafogo FR win52%
Draw23%
Chapecoense AF win25%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.22

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Chapecoense AF, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 0–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBotafogo FRChapecoense AF
Matches played1312
Points per match0.920.92
Goals per match0.851.08
Goals conceded per match1.542.08
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded813
Last 5 points73
Last 5 goals scored44
Last 5 goals conceded611
Win percentage23%25%

Botafogo FR recent form

DWLLW

Chapecoense AF recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Botafogo FR

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Coritiba FBC1–1
  • Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2
  • Lat Mirassol FC0–2
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–2
  • Dvs RB Bragantino1–1

Chapecoense AF

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs CA Paranaense1–4
  • Lat EC Vitória0–4
  • Dat CA Mineiro1–1
  • Lvs SC Internacional1–2
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.