Primera Division · Matchweek 2

Athletic Club vs Sevilla FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Athletic Club win35%
Draw26%
Sevilla FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.40

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Athletic Club have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sevilla FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 019.4%
  • 108.7%
  • 128.6%
  • 218.0%
  • 006.7%
  • 026.6%
  • 205.7%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.