Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 2
Athletic Club vs Sevilla FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 22 Aug, 16:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win35%
Draw26%
Sevilla FC win39%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.30 – 1.40
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Athletic Club have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sevilla FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–06.7%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Sevilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 50% |
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Sevilla FC recent form
LDWWL
Recent form
Athletic Club
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Real Madrid2–4
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
- Lat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Wat Deportivo Alavés4–2
Sevilla FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat RC Celta de Vigo0–1
- Lvs Real Madrid0–1
- Wat Villarreal CF3–2
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.