Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 15:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win15%
Draw17%
Atlético Madrid win68%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.22 – 2.67
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Athletic Club have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Atlético Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Atlético Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.9%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–16.7%
- 0–36.5%
- 0–15.5%
- 2–25.4%
- 1–45.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 2.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 71% |
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Atlético Madrid recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Athletic Club
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC1–3
- Lat Real Madrid2–4
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
Atlético Madrid
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Sevilla FC3–1
- Dvs Villarreal CF2–2
- Wvs Málaga CF2–0
- Lat Villarreal CF1–5
- Wvs Girona FC1–0
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.