Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 14
Aston Villa FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham, England
United Matchday prediction
Aston Villa FC win66%
Draw19%
Crystal Palace FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 2.21 – 0.93
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Crystal Palace FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Aston Villa FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–07.8%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–24.6%
- 0–04.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Aston Villa FC | Crystal Palace FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 20% |
Aston Villa FC recent form
DWWDD
Crystal Palace FC recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
Aston Villa FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Manchester United FC4–4
- Lat Barcelona0–3
- Dvs Fulham FC1–1
- Wvs Manchester City FC2–1
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
Crystal Palace FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Liverpool FC1–3
- Lat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–2
- Lvs Newcastle United FC0–2
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
- Wvs Nottingham Forest FC3–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC
Home
41%
Draw
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Away
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AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City AFC
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
19%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.