Serie A · Matchweek 14

AC Monza vs Como 1907 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 14:00 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AC Monza win19%
Draw19%
Como 1907 win62%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.24 – 2.37

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Como 1907 with an above-average away defensive record. Como 1907 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Como 1907 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 1–37.4%
  • 0–16.4%
  • 0–36.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 2–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MonzaComo 1907
Matches played1111
Points per match0.642.09
Goals per match1.551.64
Goals conceded per match2.270.91
Home / away goals scored913
Home / away goals conceded99
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded104
Win percentage18%64%

AC Monza recent form

WLLLL

Como 1907 recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

AC Monza

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lat Bologna FC 19091–2
  • Lvs SSC Napoli1–4
  • Lat Torino FC2–3
  • Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–0

Como 1907

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Inter Milan0–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens9–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC1–0
  • Wat Torino FC3–1
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.